Is Gemini 2.5 Pro a good deal?

Whether anything in this catalogue beats Gemini 2.5 Pro on both quality and price, and what you give up if it does. A computation on the current catalogue, not an opinion.

12 undominated of 144 · Oct 16, 2026

As of Oct 16, 2026, Gemini 2.5 Pro is dominated for Balanced on LMArena. Gemini 3.8 Flash scores 41.0 higher and costs 13% less, with a covering envelope. 12 of 144 rated, priced standard models are undominated.

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Current model

Gemini 2.5 Pro

Balanced

3 tokens in per 1 out

Gemini 3.8 Flash is both better and cheaper than Gemini 2.5 Pro: 41.0 points higher on LMArena and 13% less per million tokens, $0.438 cheaper at this mix.

Gemini 2.5 Pro

LMArena Elo · higher is better

Scale starts at 1040 Elo

1457.7

Effective $/M · Balanced · lower is better

$3.44/M

Gemini 3.8 Flash

LMArena Elo · higher is better

Scale starts at 1040 Elo

1498.7

Effective $/M · Balanced · lower is better

$3.00/M

Gemini 2.5 Pro takes text, image, file, audio, video, returns up to 65,536 tokens from a 1,048,576-token context, and is listed by 7 sellers.

Compared against 144 rated, priced models on this lens: 7 models dominate it and give up nothing, 5 more dominate it but give something up. Gemini 2.5 Pro scores 1457.7 at $3.44 per million tokens for this mix.

Envelope-safe replacements

Each row scores at least as high, costs no more, and covers this model’s context, output, modalities, tools, and reasoning. A cheaper narrower model is not listed here.

ModelLMArenaEffective $/MYou save
Gemini 3.8 Flash1498.7 +41.0$3.00/M13%
Muse Spark 1.31489.8 +32.1$2.00/M42%
Gemini 3.7 Flash1487.1 +29.4$3.00/M13%
Muse Spark 1.21484.9 +27.2$2.00/M42%
Gemini 3.6 Flash1479.5 +21.8$1.50/M56%
Muse Spark 1.11478.1 +20.4$2.00/M42%
Gemini 3.5 Flash1477.6 +19.9$3.38/M2%

Higher score, lower price, named losses

Not a drop-in. The loss is why these are not a recommendation.

ModelLMArenaEffective $/MYou give up
MiMo-V2.6-Pro1490.3$0.540/Mfile
Kimi K31475.6$3.05/MPrice under confirmation since Oct 13, 2026file, audio
GLM 5.31471.4$1.00/MPrice under confirmation since Oct 12, 2026image, file, audio, video
GLM 5.3 Flash1471.0$0.238/MPrice under confirmation since Oct 12, 2026file, audio
GLM 5.21470.0$1.12/MPrice under confirmation since Oct 12, 2026image, file, audio, video
Gemini 3.8 Flash1498.7 · $3.00/MGemini 2.5 Pro1457.7 · $3.44/MLMArena EloEffective $/M · Balanced
144 rated, priced standard models. Chartreuse is the frontier. Cobalt is the model you named, when it is not on the staircase.

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