---
title: "Significance bands — adjacent ranks inside published error — Undominated"
canonical: https://undominated.ai/significance/
description: "94% of adjacent LMArena pairs on this catalogue fall inside published error (as of 2026-10-06). Bands, not a crisp #1."
---

# Significance bands — adjacent ranks inside published error — Undominated

> 94% of adjacent LMArena pairs on this catalogue fall inside published error (as of 2026-10-06). Bands, not a crisp #1.

# Significance bands

Adjacent ranks that the measurement cannot separate. The band is the object; the integer is a footnote. We do not invent a crisp #1.

As of 2026-10-06, **94%** of adjacent pairs on the LMArena (human-preference) board — 136 of 144 — fall inside the models’ own published 95% confidence intervals. Condition: standard-delivery rows with a measured CI half-width, CC BY 4.0 Arena data. 4 models share rank 1 among the models listed here. LMArena ranks gemini-4-argon-high (1533.5) above all of them. It is not ranked here because it is not in the price feed this site reads.

 94% adjacent pairs inside published error
 72/145 distinct significance ranks / scored models
 4 joint first among listed models

LMArena publishes per-model 95% CI half-widths (CC BY 4.0). Adjacent models are inseparable when their intervals overlap.

| Sig. rank | Model | Elo | ± half-width |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | [Claude Opus 5.5](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-5.5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-5.5/) | 1512 | 9.1 |
| 1 | [Claude Fable 5.1](/models/anthropic__claude-fable-5.1/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-fable-5.1/) | 1511 | 6.4 |
| 1 | [Claude Opus 4.6](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-4.6/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-4.6/) | 1503 | 3.4 |
| 1 | [Claude Opus 5](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-5/) | 1502 | 3.8 |
| 3 | [Gemini 3.8 Flash](/models/google__gemini-3.8-flash/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.8-flash/) | 1497 | 5.0 |
| 5 | [Claude Fable 5](/models/anthropic__claude-fable-5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-fable-5/) | 1492 | 4.4 |
| 3 | [MiMo-V2.6-Pro](/models/xiaomi__mimo-v2.6-pro/) [Check](/check/xiaomi__mimo-v2.6-pro/) | 1491 | 9.4 |
| 5 | [Claude Opus 4.7](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-4.7/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-4.7/) | 1490 | 3.8 |
| 5 | [Muse Spark 1.3](/models/meta__muse-spark-1.3/) [Check](/check/meta__muse-spark-1.3/) | 1490 | 6.2 |
| 5 | [Gemini 3.7 Flash](/models/google__gemini-3.7-flash/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.7-flash/) | 1487 | 5.2 |
| 5 | [Muse Spark 1.2](/models/meta__muse-spark-1.2/) [Check](/check/meta__muse-spark-1.2/) | 1483 | 9.1 |
| 9 | [Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview](/models/google__gemini-3.1-pro-preview/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.1-pro-preview/) | 1480 | 3.0 |
| 8 | [Gemini 3.6 Flash](/models/google__gemini-3.6-flash/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.6-flash/) | 1480 | 4.4 |
| 9 | [Muse Spark 1.1](/models/meta__muse-spark-1.1/) [Check](/check/meta__muse-spark-1.1/) | 1479 | 4.4 |
| 10 | [Gemini 3.5 Flash](/models/google__gemini-3.5-flash/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.5-flash/) | 1478 | 4.1 |
| 11 | [Kimi K3](/models/moonshotai__kimi-k3/) [Check](/check/moonshotai__kimi-k3/) | 1476 | 4.8 |
| 12 | [GLM 5.3](/models/z-ai__glm-5.3/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-5.3/) | 1471 | 5.5 |
| 14 | [GLM 5.2](/models/z-ai__glm-5.2/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-5.2/) | 1470 | 4.3 |
| 13 | [GLM 5.3 Flash](/models/z-ai__glm-5.3-flash/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-5.3-flash/) | 1470 | 5.3 |
| 17 | [GPT-5.5](/models/openai__gpt-5.5/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.5/) | 1467 | 3.7 |
| 12 | [Claude Sonnet 5.5](/models/anthropic__claude-sonnet-5.5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-sonnet-5.5/) | 1467 | 10.4 |
| 17 | [MiMo-V2.5-Pro](/models/xiaomi__mimo-v2.5-pro/) [Check](/check/xiaomi__mimo-v2.5-pro/) | 1465 | 3.6 |
| 17 | [DeepSeek V4.1 Flash](/models/deepseek__deepseek-v4.1-flash/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-v4.1-flash/) | 1463 | 6.9 |
| 19 | [GLM 5.1](/models/z-ai__glm-5.1/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-5.1/) | 1462 | 3.7 |
| 19 | [Claude Opus 4.8](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-4.8/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-4.8/) | 1461 | 3.9 |
| 22 | [Claude Sonnet 4.6](/models/anthropic__claude-sonnet-4.6/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-sonnet-4.6/) | 1458 | 3.5 |
| 22 | [Gemini 2.5 Pro](/models/google__gemini-2.5-pro/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-2.5-pro/) | 1458 | 2.4 |
| 20 | [MiMo-V2.6-Flash](/models/xiaomi__mimo-v2.6-flash/) [Check](/check/xiaomi__mimo-v2.6-flash/) | 1456 | 7.8 |
| 22 | [GPT-5.6 Sol](/models/openai__gpt-5.6-sol/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.6-sol/) | 1456 | 4.4 |
| 22 | [Kimi K2.6](/models/moonshotai__kimi-k2.6/) [Check](/check/moonshotai__kimi-k2.6/) | 1456 | 4.4 |
| 22 | [Qwen3.7 Plus](/models/qwen__qwen3.7-plus/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.7-plus/) | 1455 | 4.3 |
| 25 | [GPT-5.4](/models/openai__gpt-5.4/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.4/) | 1452 | 3.7 |
| 28 | [Claude Opus 4.5](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-4.5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-4.5/) | 1451 | 3.1 |
| 28 | [Grok 4.5](/models/x-ai__grok-4.5/) [Check](/check/x-ai__grok-4.5/) | 1448 | 4.3 |
| 27 | [Qwen3.6 Max Preview](/models/qwen__qwen3.6-max-preview/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.6-max-preview/) | 1447 | 8.2 |
| 30 | [GPT-5.6 Terra](/models/openai__gpt-5.6-terra/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.6-terra/) | 1446 | 4.4 |
| 30 | [GLM 5](/models/z-ai__glm-5/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-5/) | 1446 | 4.2 |
| 25 | [GPT-6.1 Sol](/models/openai__gpt-6.1-sol/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-6.1-sol/) | 1446 | 10.5 |
| 29 | [DeepSeek V4 Pro 0423](/models/deepseek__deepseek-v4-pro/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-v4-pro/) | 1445 | 6.6 |
| 33 | [Kimi K2.5](/models/moonshotai__kimi-k2.5/) [Check](/check/moonshotai__kimi-k2.5/) | 1445 | 3.3 |
| 30 | [Gemma 4 31B](/models/google__gemma-4-31b-it/) [Check](/check/google__gemma-4-31b-it/) | 1443 | 7.4 |
| 34 | [Claude Sonnet 5](/models/anthropic__claude-sonnet-5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-sonnet-5/) | 1443 | 4.2 |
| 31 | [GPT-6 Astra](/models/openai__gpt-6-astra/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-6-astra/) | 1442 | 6.8 |
| 34 | [Inkling](/models/thinkingmachines__inkling/) [Check](/check/thinkingmachines__inkling/) | 1442 | 4.5 |
| 34 | [Qwen3.8 27B](/models/qwen__qwen3.8-27b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.8-27b/) | 1441 | 5.4 |
| 34 | [Hy3](/models/tencent__hy3/) [Check](/check/tencent__hy3/) | 1441 | 6.5 |
| 34 | [GLM 4.6](/models/z-ai__glm-4.6/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.6/) | 1440 | 3.9 |
| 38 | [Claude Sonnet 4.5](/models/anthropic__claude-sonnet-4.5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-sonnet-4.5/) | 1439 | 2.9 |
| 38 | [Qwen3.5 397B A17B](/models/qwen__qwen3.5-397b-a17b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.5-397b-a17b/) | 1438 | 3.1 |
| 35 | [GLM 5V Turbo](/models/z-ai__glm-5v-turbo/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-5v-turbo/) | 1437 | 6.4 |
| 38 | [Qwen3.6 Plus](/models/qwen__qwen3.6-plus/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.6-plus/) | 1437 | 4.1 |
| 38 | [GLM 4.7](/models/z-ai__glm-4.7/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.7/) | 1436 | 6.0 |
| 38 | [Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite](/models/google__gemini-3.5-flash-lite/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.5-flash-lite/) | 1435 | 4.5 |
| 38 | [Gemma 4 26B A4B](/models/google__gemma-4-26b-a4b-it/) [Check](/check/google__gemma-4-26b-a4b-it/) | 1434 | 7.4 |
| 42 | [DeepSeek V4 Flash 0423](/models/deepseek__deepseek-v4-flash/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-v4-flash/) | 1432 | 4.0 |
| 42 | [MiniMax M3](/models/minimax__minimax-m3/) [Check](/check/minimax__minimax-m3/) | 1432 | 3.9 |
| 46 | [GPT-5.6 Luna](/models/openai__gpt-5.6-luna/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.6-luna/) | 1431 | 4.4 |
| 47 | [GLM 4.5](/models/z-ai__glm-4.5/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.5/) | 1430 | 4.9 |
| 50 | [R1 0528](/models/deepseek__deepseek-r1-0528/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-r1-0528/) | 1428 | 5.7 |
| 51 | [MiMo-V2.5](/models/xiaomi__mimo-v2.5/) [Check](/check/xiaomi__mimo-v2.5/) | 1428 | 4.2 |
| 51 | [Grok 4.6](/models/x-ai__grok-4.6/) [Check](/check/x-ai__grok-4.6/) | 1427 | 5.1 |
| 56 | [DeepSeek V3.2](/models/deepseek__deepseek-v3.2/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-v3.2/) | 1425 | 3.5 |
| 54 | [DeepSeek V3.2 Exp](/models/deepseek__deepseek-v3.2-exp/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-v3.2-exp/) | 1422 | 6.3 |
| 58 | [GPT-5.1](/models/openai__gpt-5.1/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.1/) | 1422 | 3.6 |
| 56 | [Mistral Medium 3.5](/models/mistralai__mistral-medium-3-5/) [Check](/check/mistralai__mistral-medium-3-5/) | 1421 | 6.4 |
| 57 | [Qwen3 VL 235B A22B Instruct](/models/qwen__qwen3-vl-235b-a22b-instruct/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-vl-235b-a22b-instruct/) | 1420 | 6.5 |
| 58 | [DeepSeek V3.1](/models/deepseek__deepseek-chat-v3.1/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-chat-v3.1/) | 1420 | 6.0 |
| 62 | [Qwen3 235B A22B Instruct 2507](/models/qwen__qwen3-235b-a22b-2507/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-235b-a22b-2507/) | 1419 | 2.5 |
| 62 | [Claude Opus 4.1](/models/anthropic__claude-opus-4.1/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-opus-4.1/) | 1419 | 3.0 |
| 62 | [Qwen3 Next 80B A3B Instruct](/models/qwen__qwen3-next-80b-a3b-instruct/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-next-80b-a3b-instruct/) | 1417 | 4.8 |
| 56 | [DeepSeek V3.1 Terminus](/models/deepseek__deepseek-v3.1-terminus/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-v3.1-terminus/) | 1417 | 9.7 |
| 62 | [Qwen3.5-122B-A10B](/models/qwen__qwen3.5-122b-a10b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.5-122b-a10b/) | 1417 | 4.3 |
| 63 | [Gemini 2.5 Flash](/models/google__gemini-2.5-flash/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-2.5-flash/) | 1417 | 2.4 |
| 63 | [Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite Preview](/models/google__gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview/) [Check](/check/google__gemini-3.1-flash-lite-preview/) | 1416 | 3.6 |
| 62 | [Qwen3 235B A22B Thinking 2507](/models/qwen__qwen3-235b-a22b-thinking-2507/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-235b-a22b-thinking-2507/) | 1415 | 6.5 |
| 64 | [Inkling Small](/models/thinkingmachines__inkling-small/) [Check](/check/thinkingmachines__inkling-small/) | 1414 | 4.9 |
| 63 | [Qwen3 Max](/models/qwen__qwen3-max/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-max/) | 1412 | 6.5 |
| 67 | [GPT-5.2](/models/openai__gpt-5.2/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.2/) | 1412 | 3.1 |
| 67 | [GPT-5.4 Mini](/models/openai__gpt-5.4-mini/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.4-mini/) | 1411 | 3.7 |
| 71 | [o3](/models/openai__o3/) [Check](/check/openai__o3/) | 1410 | 3.6 |
| 71 | [Qwen3.5-27B](/models/qwen__qwen3.5-27b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.5-27b/) | 1409 | 4.3 |
| 74 | [GPT-5](/models/openai__gpt-5/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5/) | 1406 | 4.4 |
| 77 | [MiniMax M2.7](/models/minimax__minimax-m2.7/) [Check](/check/minimax__minimax-m2.7/) | 1405 | 3.4 |
| 79 | [Step 3.5 Flash](/models/stepfun__step-3.5-flash/) [Check](/check/stepfun__step-3.5-flash/) | 1403 | 3.5 |
| 78 | [Qwen3 VL 235B A22B Thinking](/models/qwen__qwen3-vl-235b-a22b-thinking/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-vl-235b-a22b-thinking/) | 1401 | 6.8 |
| 78 | [Grok 4.7](/models/x-ai__grok-4.7/) [Check](/check/x-ai__grok-4.7/) | 1400 | 7.8 |
| 84 | [Qwen3.5-Flash](/models/qwen__qwen3.5-flash-02-23/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.5-flash-02-23/) | 1397 | 3.6 |
| 84 | [Grok 4.3](/models/x-ai__grok-4.3/) [Check](/check/x-ai__grok-4.3/) | 1397 | 3.6 |
| 85 | [Claude Haiku 4.5](/models/anthropic__claude-haiku-4.5/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-haiku-4.5/) | 1396 | 2.4 |
| 82 | [GPT-6 Sol](/models/openai__gpt-6-sol/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-6-sol/) | 1395 | 6.9 |
| 85 | [Qwen3.5-35B-A3B](/models/qwen__qwen3.5-35b-a3b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3.5-35b-a3b/) | 1394 | 4.2 |
| 85 | [GPT-6 Luna](/models/openai__gpt-6-luna/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-6-luna/) | 1392 | 6.5 |
| 90 | [Solar Pro 4](/models/upstage__solar-pro4/) [Check](/check/upstage__solar-pro4/) | 1386 | 5.7 |
| 91 | [Qwen3 30B A3B Instruct 2507](/models/qwen__qwen3-30b-a3b-instruct-2507/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-30b-a3b-instruct-2507/) | 1384 | 4.9 |
| 92 | [GLM 4.5 Air](/models/z-ai__glm-4.5-air/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.5-air/) | 1384 | 4.2 |
| 92 | [GPT-4.1](/models/openai__gpt-4.1/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4.1/) | 1383 | 3.7 |
| 92 | [GLM 4.6V](/models/z-ai__glm-4.6v/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.6v/) | 1377 | 11.1 |
| 97 | [DeepSeek V3 0324](/models/deepseek__deepseek-chat-v3-0324/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-chat-v3-0324/) | 1375 | 3.9 |
| 97 | [GPT-5 Mini](/models/openai__gpt-5-mini/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5-mini/) | 1373 | 4.6 |
| 97 | [R1](/models/deepseek__deepseek-r1/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-r1/) | 1373 | 4.8 |
| 97 | [GPT-5.4 Nano](/models/openai__gpt-5.4-nano/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5.4-nano/) | 1372 | 3.8 |
| 97 | [Qwen3 Next 80B A3B Thinking](/models/qwen__qwen3-next-80b-a3b-thinking/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-next-80b-a3b-thinking/) | 1368 | 5.9 |
| 97 | [Qwen3 235B A22B](/models/qwen__qwen3-235b-a22b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-235b-a22b/) | 1367 | 4.7 |
| 98 | [o1](/models/openai__o1/) [Check](/check/openai__o1/) | 1366 | 4.5 |
| 98 | [gpt-oss-120b](/models/openai__gpt-oss-120b/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-oss-120b/) | 1365 | 4.4 |
| 101 | [Nova 2 Lite](/models/amazon__nova-2-lite-v1/) [Check](/check/amazon__nova-2-lite-v1/) | 1362 | 6.0 |
| 102 | [MiniMax M2.5](/models/minimax__minimax-m2.5/) [Check](/check/minimax__minimax-m2.5/) | 1359 | 3.9 |
| 104 | [Gemma 3 27B](/models/google__gemma-3-27b-it/) [Check](/check/google__gemma-3-27b-it/) | 1358 | 3.7 |
| 102 | [Mercury 2](/models/inception__mercury-2/) [Check](/check/inception__mercury-2/) | 1355 | 10.3 |
| 106 | [o4 Mini](/models/openai__o4-mini/) [Check](/check/openai__o4-mini/) | 1353 | 4.0 |
| 106 | [GLM 4.7 Flash](/models/z-ai__glm-4.7-flash/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.7-flash/) | 1351 | 5.7 |
| 110 | [MiniMax M1](/models/minimax__minimax-m1/) [Check](/check/minimax__minimax-m1/) | 1343 | 4.3 |
| 112 | [GPT-4.1 Mini](/models/openai__gpt-4.1-mini/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4.1-mini/) | 1340 | 4.3 |
| 109 | [Qwen3 32B](/models/qwen__qwen3-32b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-32b/) | 1340 | 9.3 |
| 112 | [Trinity Large Thinking](/models/arcee-ai__trinity-large-thinking/) [Check](/check/arcee-ai__trinity-large-thinking/) | 1340 | 4.6 |
| 110 | [MiniMax M2](/models/minimax__minimax-m2/) [Check](/check/minimax__minimax-m2/) | 1340 | 7.7 |
| 112 | [Claude Sonnet 4](/models/anthropic__claude-sonnet-4/) [Check](/check/anthropic__claude-sonnet-4/) | 1339 | 4.4 |
| 112 | [o3 Mini High](/models/openai__o3-mini-high/) [Check](/check/openai__o3-mini-high/) | 1337 | 5.3 |
| 112 | [Gemma 3 12B](/models/google__gemma-3-12b-it/) [Check](/check/google__gemma-3-12b-it/) | 1334 | 9.4 |
| 112 | [GLM 4.5V](/models/z-ai__glm-4.5v/) [Check](/check/z-ai__glm-4.5v/) | 1333 | 8.4 |
| 113 | [DeepSeek V3](/models/deepseek__deepseek-chat/) [Check](/check/deepseek__deepseek-chat/) | 1333 | 4.7 |
| 120 | [GPT-5 Nano](/models/openai__gpt-5-nano/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-5-nano/) | 1320 | 6.9 |
| 122 | [o3 Mini](/models/openai__o3-mini/) [Check](/check/openai__o3-mini/) | 1319 | 3.5 |
| 119 | [Granite 4.2 8B](/models/ibm-granite__granite-4.2-8b/) [Check](/check/ibm-granite__granite-4.2-8b/) | 1318 | 11.1 |
| 122 | [Qwen3 30B A3B](/models/qwen__qwen3-30b-a3b/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen3-30b-a3b/) | 1317 | 4.7 |
| 126 | [GPT-4o (2024-05-13)](/models/openai__gpt-4o-2024-05-13/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4o-2024-05-13/) | 1300 | 3.4 |
| 126 | [Gemma 3 4B](/models/google__gemma-3-4b-it/) [Check](/check/google__gemma-3-4b-it/) | 1291 | 9.2 |
| 127 | [gpt-oss-20b](/models/openai__gpt-oss-20b/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-oss-20b/) | 1288 | 6.4 |
| 127 | [GPT-4o-mini (2024-07-18)](/models/openai__gpt-4o-mini-2024-07-18/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4o-mini-2024-07-18/) | 1286 | 3.5 |
| 127 | [GPT-4.1 Nano](/models/openai__gpt-4.1-nano/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4.1-nano/) | 1285 | 7.6 |
| 127 | [GPT-4o (2024-08-06)](/models/openai__gpt-4o-2024-08-06/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4o-2024-08-06/) | 1283 | 4.2 |
| 131 | [Llama 3.3 70B Instruct](/models/meta-llama__llama-3.3-70b-instruct/) [Check](/check/meta-llama__llama-3.3-70b-instruct/) | 1274 | 3.5 |
| 132 | [GPT-4 Turbo](/models/openai__gpt-4-turbo/) [Check](/check/openai__gpt-4-turbo/) | 1272 | 3.9 |
| 132 | [Qwen2.5 72B Instruct](/models/qwen__qwen-2.5-72b-instruct/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen-2.5-72b-instruct/) | 1269 | 4.1 |
| 133 | [Mistral Large 2407](/models/mistralai__mistral-large-2407/) [Check](/check/mistralai__mistral-large-2407/) | 1266 | 3.9 |
| 135 | [Llama 3.1 70B Instruct](/models/meta-llama__llama-3.1-70b-instruct/) [Check](/check/meta-llama__llama-3.1-70b-instruct/) | 1261 | 3.7 |
| 137 | [Mistral Small 3](/models/mistralai__mistral-small-24b-instruct-2501/) [Check](/check/mistralai__mistral-small-24b-instruct-2501/) | 1234 | 5.9 |
| 137 | [Gemma 2 27B](/models/google__gemma-2-27b-it/) [Check](/check/google__gemma-2-27b-it/) | 1231 | 3.4 |
| 137 | [Qwen2.5 Coder 32B Instruct](/models/qwen__qwen-2.5-coder-32b-instruct/) [Check](/check/qwen__qwen-2.5-coder-32b-instruct/) | 1230 | 8.0 |
| 137 | [Command R+ (08-2024)](/models/cohere__command-r-plus-08-2024/) [Check](/check/cohere__command-r-plus-08-2024/) | 1229 | 6.5 |
| 141 | [Phi 4](/models/microsoft__phi-4/) [Check](/check/microsoft__phi-4/) | 1217 | 4.6 |
| 142 | [Command R (08-2024)](/models/cohere__command-r-08-2024/) [Check](/check/cohere__command-r-08-2024/) | 1187 | 6.5 |
| 142 | [Llama 3.1 8B Instruct](/models/meta-llama__llama-3.1-8b-instruct/) [Check](/check/meta-llama__llama-3.1-8b-instruct/) | 1187 | 4.1 |
| 144 | [Llama 3.2 3B Instruct](/models/meta-llama__llama-3.2-3b-instruct/) [Check](/check/meta-llama__llama-3.2-3b-instruct/) | 1110 | 7.5 |
| 145 | [Llama 3.2 1B Instruct](/models/meta-llama__llama-3.2-1b-instruct/) [Check](/check/meta-llama__llama-3.2-1b-instruct/) | 1055 | 7.7 |

 Copy evidence Download CSV · 145 rows [Input hashes & method version](/data/publications/manifests/ecef83f767cd4d2c21766f6a5b4dffa36c06351f23657542d473bc1a030c0932.json)

 Read citation text and BibTeX 136 of 144 adjacent Arena pairs fall inside published intervals (94%). Standard-delivery models with measured confidence intervals only. As of 2026-10-06. Lens: LMArena Elo (CC BY 4.0). https://undominated.ai/significance/
Method: https://undominated.ai/methodology/
Arena data: https://huggingface.co/datasets/lmarena-ai/leaderboard-dataset (CC BY 4.0). Derived calculations by Undominated.ai.
Publication: sha256:ecef83f767cd4d2c21766f6a5b4dffa36c06351f23657542d473bc1a030c0932; calculation SHA-256: 5ae4d0bee9b70298dd437b05df87c32acb407040b50bf88240677f295f25955d; permitted inputs: https://undominated.ai/data/publications/manifests/ecef83f767cd4d2c21766f6a5b4dffa36c06351f23657542d473bc1a030c0932.json

Copy BibTeX Download citation

 @misc{undominated-significance-2026-10-06,
 author = {{Undominated.ai}},
 title = {significance evidence — Undominated.ai},
 year = {2026},
 url = {https://undominated.ai/significance/},
 note = {as of 2026-10-06; LMArena Elo (CC BY 4.0)},
 annote = {Publication: sha256:ecef83f767cd4d2c21766f6a5b4dffa36c06351f23657542d473bc1a030c0932; calculation SHA-256: 5ae4d0bee9b70298dd437b05df87c32acb407040b50bf88240677f295f25955d; permitted inputs: https://undominated.ai/data/publications/manifests/ecef83f767cd4d2c21766f6a5b4dffa36c06351f23657542d473bc1a030c0932.json}
}

## Continue your investigation

 - [Blind rank test](/blind-rank/)
- [Disagreement](/disagreement/)
- [Ranges](/ranges/)
- [Methodology](/methodology/)